Tony Ferguson vs Michael Chandler Picks, Predictions, Odds » Sports Chat Place

Michael Chandler and Tony Ferguson fight Saturday at UFC 274 at the Footprint Center. Chandler comes into this fight with a 22-7 record and has won 45% of his fights by knockout. Ferguson comes into this fight with a 25-6 record and has won 48% of his fights by knockout.

Chandler has split his last six fights and is coming off a November loss to Justin Gaethje. Chandler averages 5.17 significant punches per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 46%. Chandler averages 1.73 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 33%. Chandler is coming off a decision loss at UFC 268 that earned him Fight of the Night honors. In the losing effort, Chandler landed 104 total strikes and ate 133 total strikes. Chandler is now looking to avoid three straight losses for the first time since 2013-14. Chandler is looking for his first win since beating Dan Hooker at UFC 257. Chandler comes from a deep wrestling background, has a high takedown defense percentage and has never been submitted in his career. Chandler usually gets the fight where he wants it, and he’s won seven career submissions, four of them by rear-end choke. Chandler can also more than stand, as he is a volume hitter and has 10 career knockouts. Each of Chandler’s last three wins have been knockouts due to punches. This will be Chandler’s first career fight in Arizona.

Ferguson has lost three straight fights and is coming off a loss in May (2021) to Beneil Dariush. Ferguson averages 5.15 significant shots per minute, with an accuracy percentage of 45%. Ferguson averages 0.42 takedowns with an accuracy percentage of 42%. Ferguson is coming off a decision loss at UFC 262 where he landed 37 total strikes and ate 76 total strikes and was taken down three times. Ferguson is looking to avoid four straight losses and pick up his first win since UC 238. When in good shape, Ferguson is simply a savage in the octagon, with a high work rate and ridiculous cardio that allows him to keep pushing with the same pace in each lap. Ferguson has a reputation for beating fighters and leaving them in a bloody mess. Although his striking is elite level, Ferguson is also tough to take down, and he has solid wrestling experience and is a black belt in BJJ. Ferguson was a champion wrestler in high school and college, and he’s very comfortable on his back, where he’s no stranger to power punches and can change positions very quickly. However, Ferguson has been in wars and he is not getting any younger at 38. This will be Ferguson’s first career fight in Arizona.

I love Ferguson as much as the next guy and would love to see him straight on the ship, but I feel like he took so much punishment, and it finally caught up with him. Chandler should be the favorite here, given less wear and his ability to pick up the pace and wear down his opponent in later rounds. That said, Chandler isn’t exactly a world beater, and he has a habit of going small in bigger fights. Ferguson hasn’t looked great in his last few fights, but it wouldn’t surprise anyone if he puts up a strong showing and shows he’s the guy he was just a few years ago. It wasn’t too long ago that Ferguson was in contention for a title shot.

This award is a little disrespectful to Ferguson. I will be on the side of anger.

Randy Chambers’ Free Pick:

Tony Ferguson +300

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